Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Agents of change

As I meander through the plains of North India meeting poor women who are changing their own lives as well as the lives of those around them, I find myself questioning the western notions of women’s liberation and empowerment. These women don’t feel deprived because they lack access to latest consumables. They are content with their scant material possessions and are extremely happy as they now feel more secure than they have ever felt in the past. They are the financial managers of their household enterprises and undertake complex transactions - they secure finance, they invest and they are also responsible for "internal control". Some of them are so good, they can humble their more fortunate peers who had access to formal education. These women are a barometer of the way India is changing economically as well as socially; they are also the force that’s driving this change.

Tuesday, April 15, 2008

My hypothesis of success for a consulting start-up

After all, it seems one of my life ambitions of being able to pursue a Phd in finance will go unfulfilled. My colleague would like me to believe that my current vocation, ie, running a consultancy and building a business, is at least as good, if not better, an intellectual pursuit. In fact, if my colleague is to be believed, it involves hypothesis testing on a multiple basis. So, here is an attempt to articulate a hypothesis regarding the success of a consultancy business which (again to borrow my colleague’s idea) is capital un-intensive but highly intellect intensive. I have not attempted to define success here, but would simply allude to the intuitive meaning this word has.
The hierarchy of success prerequisites for a consulting start-up is:
  1. Superior technical skill sets during the proof of concept phase. The critical challenges are marketing as well as service delivery.
  2. Standardized offerings and the ability to train the larger team during the growth phase. The main challenge at this stage is to build a team that is capable enough to work on projects that are generated.
  3. Establishing the brand equity simultaneously and to provide a platform in the form of a “brand” to the larger team so that it can also generate business on its own.
  4. Building a strong research team that allows continuous and effective innovations.
  5. Attracting capital to test new ideas to diversify business! Hiring people who are skilled in areas which may be unrelated.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Venture Funding in Bihar

Venture Fund for Bihar

A substantial part of India has not benefited from it’s economic growth during the previous 18 years. For instance, Bihar’s economic growth that was very close to the national average in the 1980s, became far lower subsequently. A World bank report on Bihar states, that the state experienced zero growth in the first half of the 1990s, and since 1994, when data for divided Bihar became available, annual growth has averaged around 3.8% or about 1% per annum in per capita terms[1]. As a result income and consumption growth in Bihar have lagged seriously thereby increasing the gap between Bihar and the rest of India. Lagging social infrastructure and poor law and order situation have meant that the state has not been able to productively utilize its agricultural as well as human resource base. The total value of output of Agro-based industries in Bihar is less than 1% of the national output, despite the fact that Bihar produces about 10% of India’s total output of common fruits and vegetables. The availability of banking services in Bihar is much below the national average. The Credit to Deposit ratio of banks in Bihar is extremely low (measured at 31.4% in 2004-05), and banks are very reluctant when it comes to providing project financing in the state.

The investment climate in the state is gradually improving. While challenges remain in terms of high regulatory burden,[2]poor power situation and road networks, opportunities exist because of improving law and order perception as well as higher investments in infrastructure. The World Bank is reported to have sanctioned a US$ 225 million debt to the state to support implementation of structural reforms in governance, road infrastructure and agriculture among others. The state has been focusing on building a supportive industrial infrastructure. The table below presents some of the initiatives in the state.

Industrial Development Initiatives (Source: India Brand Equity Foundation, 2008)

The state has also sought to make investment friendly policies to encourage investments. The Industrial Policy of 2006 aims to ensure accelerated industrial development, with special focus on key industries, catalyze economic growth and ensure balanced regional growth[3]. Its objectives include promoting industries specifically identified as thrust areas - Pharmaceuticals, Drugs and Biotech Industries, Food Processing and Agro-based Industries, IT and IT-enabled services, Eco Tourism/Heritage Tourism/Adventure Tourism/Event Tourism/Medical Tourism and Entertainment Industry. It also puts in place Single Window Clearance systems for the benefit of potential investors.

In all probability, the state will now witness improved growth and entrepreneurial opportunities will emerge. However, given the state of financial services and capital market in the state, financing of entrepreneurial initiatives will present a key challenge. Readily available risk-capital financing is critical for enterprises (and industry) to flourish, more so in areas that are under developed. There has been a growing excitement in microfinance circles about the “microfinance market” in Bihar. Microfinance plays an important role by enabling the poor to build sustainable local scale livelihoods. This augurs well as a substantial proportion of enterprises in the state are unregistered and informal. Infact unregistered units dominate the overall industrial sector in the state, accounting for more than half of its total income. The number of large and medium industries is only 259. Its an imperative that investments be made in scalable businesses in the state for it to move on to a higher cycle of economic activity and income. The average size of a micro-loan is small, and insufficient for promoting a formal enterprise.

It is in this context that a Bihar focused venture fund can serve to promote enterprises and benefit from the potential returns that can be made. Assuming an average investment size of Rs 3 million (US$ 75,000), a Rs 60 million (US$ 1.5 million) fund can support twenty such investments and serve to demonstrate the latent economic potential the state possesses. Importantly, these investments will also help in generating comfort among banks and this will possibly facilitate the flow of loan funds. The key challenges for creating such a fund are:

  1. Finding investors
  2. Creating a Special Investment Vehicle (SIV) with the required regulatory clearances
  3. Advocacy with the government in order to get a “buy-in” from the state
  4. Simultaneously creating a management team that can seek investment proposals or business plans from interested entrepreneurs.

A fund of this kind will face several challenges in order to provide returns to its investors. Even after investments are made, local enterprises will need hand holding support as well as professional advice on an on-going basis, so that they can scale up. Finding an exit for the fund will remain another challenge. The Securities and Exchange Board of India has approved setting up of a SME stock exchange. Such a stock exchange may provide an exit for the fund, provided the enterprises are able to scale up to listing levels. Trade sales or buy-outs by larger funds are other alternatives that could provide an exit. There is no denying that equity investments made in enterprises in Bihar carry double the risk as compared to equity investments elsewhere. However, the potential returns that could be had not only in Financial ROEs but also in terms of the socio economic benefits these investments could generate is immense.



[1] Bihar – Towards a Development Strategy, 2005, The World Bank

[2] The World Bank defines regulatory burden as onerous regulations and intrusive and disruptive visits from Government officials.

[3] industries.bih.nic.in/Archive/IndPolicy2006en.pdf



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Friday, April 04, 2008

Damning news article on Bihar

How true is this? If it is exaggerated, it does the state a lot of disfavor.


Doing business the hard way in Bihar
(http://www.livemint.com/UserControls/2008/02/19011210/Doing-business-the-hard-way-in.html)
HAJIPUR, Bihar: The white envelope filled with 10 notes of Rs500 denomination was despatched to the electricity board official as a “goodwill gesture”.
Soon it came back, with a message from a subordinate. The official was not playing ball — at least not at that price.
“He refused to accept it, and now he is cooking up a problem,” the factory manager said as the envelope was handed back. “I will have to pay the bugger Rs20,000 in the evening.”
The manager had wanted a second power line for an extension for his small factory in the Hajipur industrial area in Bihar. A simple request, the official had threatened to tie it up in endless red tape, unless he was paid.
The routine way the bribe was offered, and the way the episode unfolded in front of a Reuters correspondent, offers a tiny insight into the problems of doing business in a state that has become a byword for poverty, lawlessness and corruption.
India’s boom has not reached Bihar, a state of 90 million people almost completely disconnected from the global economy.
It is the country’s poorest and one of its slowest growing states, with “exceptionally low” levels of private investment, according to the World Bank. There is no sign of any foreign investment at all.

Chief minister Nitish Kumar took over two years ago, promising to turn things around. Since then he has been wooing rich Indians at home and abroad, trying to attract the investment his state so desperately needs.
Last December, the World Bank said he was moving in the right direction. His government, it said, had initiated comprehensive reforms, improved the investment climate, stepped up public investment and improved the delivery of health and education services — albeit from an extremely low base.
The bank loaned Kumar’s government $225 million (Rs893 crore today), but private investors have not been so enthusiastic. India’s biggest industrialists have been visiting the state capital Patna, but so far they have kept their money firmly in their pockets.
The sad fact of Bihar is that it has little or no raw materials, intermittent power, terrible roads, a reputation for kidnapping businessmen and some of the least business-friendly bureaucrats in the capitalist world.
Law and order may be improving, but Kumar’s reforms are still only scratching the surface of the problem, said Shaibal Gupta of the Asian Development Research Institute in Patna. “Why would anyone invest in Bihar?” he asked. “In a place like Bihar you have to build everything from scratch. Where is the rate of return?”
A hopeless place
Hajipur is Bihar’s premier industrial park. Its factories get power when the rest of the state is in darkness, but only because they pay bribes. There is no drainage—factories just dump tens of thousands of litres of effluent every day in nearby ditches or ponds.
Squatters camp on the grass verges beside the factory walls, cows munch grass and wander across the potholed roads. Armed guards man security gates to ward off kidnappers.
“This so-called industrial area is really in a pathetic condition,” the manager said. “Bihar really is a hopeless place to do business.”
On the wall behind his head he displays nearly two dozen licences he needs to keep his business open, standards for health, safety, labour laws and pollution. Each costs a few hundred rupees a year to renew, plus a Rs10,000 bribe.
“Twenty-three departments have the power to shut down this unit,” he said. “They create problems, make money, go back. So much for a liberal economy.”
Rajesh Singh took a master’s in business administration at Bombay University before returning to Bihar to set up a tiny factory on his family’s farmland to manufacture jams, juices, sauces, pickles and canned fruits.
“I realized things in Bihar were not very good, so I decided to start an agri-venture,” he said. “It was a mix of good potential and good intentions.”
But Singh has found the odds stacked up heavily against A1 Farm Solutions. His friends and even his father tried to convince him out of the idea, before his bank manager took over.
“The banker was telling me I was a fool to leave my job and start a business here,” he said. “That is the attitude to coming back —t o dissuade you.”
It took Singh five years to get a bank loan, of just Rs5 lakh. To get it, he needed to offer Rs30 lakh as security and have Rs2.5 lakh parked in fixed-term deposits.
Today, his loan has been extended to Rs40 lakh — still, in his terms, “a meagre amount”, equivalent to just 10 days of raw material and labour costs.
“I had a lot of orders from the UK, from Sainsbury’s for lychees, but I couldn’t complete them because bankers are not ready to back us,” he said. “I am educated and I have assets. If I can’t get finance, how can ordinary Biharis get finance?”
If bankers were not hard enough to cope with, Singh has also found himself sucked into the divisive caste-based politics and society of Bihar.
His high-caste parents feared they would be made outcastes because he employs Dalits or “untouchables” in a food processing factory.
Then a lower-caste boy was killed on his farm when he fell under a tractor trailer. A local politician tried to exploit the issue to get Dalit votes, filing a police complaint in which he claimed the boy had been shot in the head. Although everyone knew this was untrue, the accident cost him a year, he said. “No one was willing to work for us, we couldn’t get financing,” Singh said, adding that all the time the police had been demanding money to drop the charges.
As we travelled down the potholed road to Singh’s factory, a 35km, three-hour trip on a “state highway”, he looked around at the congestion, the poverty, the crumbling infrastructure. “Look at this,” Singh said. “Someone has to come back...but at times you feel like asking ‘what am I doing with my life?’”
Is anywhere in the world more challenging to do business? “Maybe Somalia,” he said. “They are shooting at you there.”